Huginn and Muninn Intelligence

Islamists win big in Jordans parliamentary elections

Information

Jordan’s main Islamist opposition party, the Islamic Action Front (IAF), secured a significant victory by winning 31 out of 138 seats in the recent parliamentary election. This outcome, the IAF’s best performance since 1989, reflects widespread public discontent over Israel’s actions in the Gaza conflict. The IAF, which is the political wing of Jordan’s Muslim Brotherhood, has long been a vocal supporter of the Palestinian cause and has led major protests in the region. Although Jordan maintains diplomatic ties with Israel and is a strong ally of the U.S., public sentiment remains sympathetic to Palestinians, especially among Jordan’s large Palestinian population. The IAF’s victory was seen as a referendum on its support for Hamas, which the EU and the U.S. designated as a terrorist organization.

The election was the first under Jordan’s revamped electoral law, which allocated 41 seats to political parties in an effort to reduce tribal dominance and encourage greater political representation. Despite the King’s near-absolute authority, the parliament plays a key role in passing laws and lending legitimacy to the political system. This election comes at a time of economic difficulty, with Jordan facing high public debt and unemployment. Voter turnout was low at 32%, but the election saw an increase in women’s representation, with 27 women securing seats. The IAF now faces the challenge of balancing public expectations with their role in the political system as they navigate the nation’s internal and regional tensions.

Source: AP, AFP, EFE

So what

It is possible that this move will put the country in an awkward political situation. The King is trying to maintain relations with Israel, while some people want more support for Hamas and other Palestinian groups. If the country does not show some increase in support for Palestinians, there could be protests, which might turn violent. However, Jordan is still bound by a peace deal signed in 1994 following several wars. It is almost certain they will not break this deal, as the country heavily relies on US support.

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