Huginn and Muninn Intelligence

Iran Targets US Radar in Bahrain

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) claimed its air force struck and destroyed a US early warning radar system in Bahrain on Friday. The IRGC said it was retaliation for a US strike on a telecommunications tower in Sirik county, on the shores of the Strait of Hormuz.

US Central Command (CENTCOM) denied the radar was destroyed. It said US forces shot down two Iranian “one-way attack drones” targeting Bahrain. No casualties or damage were reported.

The incident comes during a fragile de-escalation in the war, which began with US and Israeli strikes on February 28. Iran continues trying to control the Strait of Hormuz and attacking ships it considers unauthorized. The US Navy is enforcing a blockade on Iranian vessels and escorting tankers through the strait. Trump is expected to discuss ending the war with Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin at the APEC summit in China next week.
Source: Reuters, AFP

So What
This is a bold move by Iran. Hitting a US asset on Gulf soil goes further than the tit-for-tat in the strait, even if the attack failed. Bahrain hosts the US Navy’s Fifth Fleet, so Tehran picked a target Washington can’t easily ignore. It’s possible this was a symbolic strike, built to show strength at home and to be claimed as a win whatever actually happened. The gap between the IRGC’s “destroyed” and CENTCOM’s “intercepted” fits that read. The more likely read is that Iran was highly confident US strikes were about to restart and chose to move first. The timing matters too. Striking days before Trump meets Xi and Putin at APEC could be an attempt to raise Iran’s leverage before any deal talk. It’s also possible it hands Washington a reason to escalate first and negotiate later. Either way, US retaliation and escalation is highly likely, and Gulf states hosting US forces are now more clearly in the firing line.

Follow us to join the intelligence community!

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *