Information
The United States is preparing to provide Ukraine with intelligence on long-range energy infrastructure targets deep inside Russia, signalling a potential shift in policy under President Trump. Reports from the Wall Street Journal and Reuters suggest that increasing frustration in Washington over Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities is driving this decision. The timing of the intelligence transfer is unclear, but it may be aimed at pressuring Putin to negotiate a ceasefire.
While no decision has been made on supplying Tomahawk cruise missiles, Vice-President JD Vance confirmed that Ukraine’s request for the long-range weapons is under consideration. US intelligence has already been crucial in helping Ukraine target Russian facilities, impacting oil production. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov dismissed claims of a policy change and warned that supplying Tomahawks could escalate tensions. Meanwhile, Putin expressed a desire to restore relations with Washington while blaming Europe for escalating the conflict. This development highlights the growing strain in U.S.-Russia relations as Washington considers deeper involvement in Ukraine’s efforts against Russia’s energy infrastructure.
Source: Reuters, WSJ
So What
The US move to publicly signal deeper intelligence sharing with Ukraine on Russian energy targets is likely more symbolic than new, as such cooperation was probably already underway. However, openly acknowledging it will almost certainly anger Vladimir Putin and could prompt a harsher Russian response. Any additional targeting data could enable Ukraine to intensify long-range strikes on refineries and other critical infrastructure, further pressuring Russia’s energy sector. In turn, Moscow may retaliate by escalating attacks on Ukraine’s own energy grid, a particularly concerning prospect as the country prepares for the hardships of winter.
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